The World and Everything In It

3.10.26 Iran’s path forward, recent Supreme Court decisions, the Convention of States, and becoming a Christian in Thailand

11 snips
Mar 10, 2026
Jonathan Saya, an Iranian-American research analyst focused on Iranian domestic affairs, discusses Iran’s new leadership and how recent strikes and regional dynamics reshape the conflict. He examines military gains and limits, escalation risks tied to Mojtaba Khamenei, and why working with Tehran looks unlikely. The conversation also touches on protest repression and the wider regional fallout.
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INSIGHT

Sustaining Munitions Is A Growing Constraint

  • U.S. and allied forces face sustainability issues supplying munitions and defenses against Iran's evolving tactics.
  • Sayeh warns prolonged 'cat and mouse' engagements will strain U.S. stockpiles and require creative leverage like arming proxies.
INSIGHT

New Supreme Leader Signals Hardline Escalation

  • Iran's appointment of Mojtaba Khomeini signals regime hardliners prevailed and favors escalation over compromise.
  • Sayeh argues the IRGC shaped the choice and that Tehran did not pick an ayatollah signaling openness to the West.
INSIGHT

Protests Persist But Face Intensifying Repression

  • Domestic Iranian protests persist despite heavy repression, offering a potential pathway for change but not an assured collapse.
  • Sayeh notes chants against officials continue, while regime forces prepare large-scale crackdowns and checkpoints.
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