TRIGGERnometry

"They Didn't Think This Through" - Ex CIA Operator, Mike Baker

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Apr 1, 2026
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INSIGHT

Why A Cornered Iran Could Hit Gulf Infrastructure

  • Mike Baker warns Iran could widen the war by striking Gulf infrastructure if it decides the conflict is existential.
  • He says even degraded forces can hit power, desalination, and energy sites, reportedly using Russian and Chinese targeting help.
INSIGHT

Why Boots On Kharg Island Could Change Everything

  • Mike Baker says a U.S. move onto Kharg Island could turn a limited campaign into a direct attritional fight.
  • He notes Iran may avoid hitting Saudi or UAE targets yet still bleed U.S. forces from nearby shore positions with repeated small successes.
INSIGHT

Why Israel And America No Longer Want The Same End

  • Mike Baker says Israel and the U.S. now show diverging aims, with Israel focused on degrading missiles and proxies enough to feel secure.
  • He argues Gulf states may quietly prefer the regime weakened or gone because otherwise the same confrontation returns later.
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