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Don't Bank On The 25th Amendment
- Don't treat 25th Amendment calls as a practical removal plan; focus on electing a Democratic Congress instead.
- The 25th requires cabinet action plus two-thirds in both chambers, an almost impossible political path now.
Special Elections Signal Democratic Momentum
- Recent special elections show strong Democratic overperformance since the Iran war began, signaling swing voters and higher turnout.
- Wisconsin and Georgia results exhibited double-digit overperformance versus prior Democratic baselines.
Major Shift In Public Views Of Israel
- Public opinion on Israel shifted dramatically: about 60% of Americans now unfavorable and ~80% of Democrats unfavorable.
- This change makes Israel policy a central Democratic primary issue, not a fringe debate.