The Two Matts Who’s winning the Iran War... and how can you tell?
Mar 5, 2026
A fast-paced rundown of the widening Iran conflict and surprising reports from across the region. Sharp discussion of the UK’s lack of preparedness and exposed naval weaknesses. Political fallout at home, including Labour infighting and legal dilemmas. Questions about US aims, long-term strategy and how global powers like China might shape the aftermath.
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UK Failed To Prepare Despite Clear Warning
- The UK knew a strike on Iran was increasingly probable and still failed to prepare militarily.
- Matt d’Ancona and Matt Kelly cite requests to use Diego Garcia and Fairford in mid-February and a warship lacking guns as concrete examples of neglect.
British Naval Capability Was Critically Thin
- British naval readiness is embarrassingly low with key assets unavailable or deployed far away.
- They note an Astute-class sub in Australia and HMS Dragon still being fitted out, leaving scant defensive options.
Legalism Can't Replace Military Preparedness
- Starmer prioritized legality over practical defensive preparations, according to the hosts.
- Matt d’Ancona argues legal caution shouldn't preclude staging defensive assets for expats, bases and diplomatic sites in Cyprus and Bahrain.