Messari's Unqualified Opinions

State of DePIN 2025 | Fully Diluted

Jan 28, 2026
Connor Lovely, founder of Proof of Coverage Media and DePIN storyteller, and Sal Gala, co-founder of Escape Velocity Ventures and DePIN investor, discuss 2025’s DePIN landscape. They talk about revenue growth at GeoNet and Helium. They debate buybacks versus growth, the rise of InfraFi and asset-backed financing, and why decentralized compute underperformed. They close with 2026 predictions for enterprise adoption and winners.
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INSIGHT

DePIN Revenue Proves Real-World Resilience

  • DePIN shows resilience because real customers keep using services even when crypto prices crash.
  • Sal Gala says this proves DePIN can generate non-reflexive value beyond token speculation.
ADVICE

Use Moderate Programmatic Buybacks

  • Commit to programmatic buybacks but keep the percentage reasonable to avoid hamstringing growth.
  • Sal Gala suggests 20–50% as a balanced range so founders won't feel forced to reverse course.
INSIGHT

On-Chain Revenue Is Imperfect But Useful

  • On-chain revenue is an imperfect but useful proxy to show paid usage and growth across DePIN.
  • Sal notes revenue often reflects pass-through cash flows or marketplace GMV, not pure protocol profit.
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