The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway Raging Moderates: Did Trump Already LOSE the War in Iran? (ft. Ian Bremmer and Dan Senor)
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Mar 25, 2026 
Ian Bremmer, political scientist and founder of Eurasia Group, joins a sharp debate on Trump’s war with Iran. They dig into whether there’s any real strategy, what victory could even look like, and how the conflict could reshape regional stability. The conversation also hits Trump’s political base, oil prices, the global economy, and what may happen next.
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Trump Blinked On Full Strait Escalation
- Ian Bremmer argues Trump’s biggest recent shift was backing off a threat to destroy Iran’s civilian energy grid after Iran refused to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
- He says that retreat shows Trump recognized straight escalation could trigger Gulf panic, mass backlash, and serious global economic damage.
The War Exposed Iran’s Hidden Missile Reach
- Dan Senor says analysts underestimated Iran’s non-nuclear military reach and learned in this war that Tehran had capabilities it had concealed.
- He points to Iran striking Diego Garcia as proof missile range and related capabilities will now matter in any future negotiation.
Success Means Different Things To Israel And Trump
- Dan Senor says Israel and the U.S. define success differently, with Israel effectively aiming at regime change while Trump may settle for a more manageable altered regime.
- He warns the likely durable outcome is repeated strikes to degrade weapons capacity rather than a final resolution.