Politics Weekly UK ‘The centre cannot hold’: John Curtice on the collapse of two-party politics
Oct 30, 2025
Professor Sir John Curtice, a leading psephologist, and Gabby Hinsliff, a political commentator, dive deep into the alarming decline of the UK's main political parties. They discuss the record-low popularity of Labour and Conservatives, the implications for the upcoming election, and the rise of parties like the Greens and Reform UK. The conversation shifts to Labour's struggle with tax promises and the increasingly toxic issue of immigration. Curtice and Hinsliff explore how these dynamics shape public sentiment and governmental strategies.
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Greens Erode Labour Among Young Voters
- The Greens have broken through the 10% barrier and lead among 16–24-year-olds, siphoning young, urban professional support from Labour.
- Youth and urban votes that backed Labour in 2019 are now shifting to Green alternatives.
Rebuild Narrative And Deliver Tangible Wins
- Labour must develop a clearer narrative and deliver visible economic and public service improvements to regain support.
- Without progress on the economy, NHS waiting lists, and immigration the party risks falling below its previous vote share.
Reform's Support Is Strong But Niché
- Reform UK draws heavily from Leave voters and social conservatives, capping Nigel Farage's appeal to a niche market.
- Curtice notes Reform stalls around 30% and struggles to push beyond the mid‑30s to 40% in most contests.