Massive Economic Damage From Iran War Already Locked In?

Even if the war in Iran ends tomorrow, the economic damage is already locked in. Oil supply disruptions, bottlenecks in global infrastructure, and long-term production constraints are pushing prices higher and keeping them there. This episode breaks down the key signals, from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to airlines and AI supply chains, that explain why this isn’t a short-term shock but a structural problem.

CHAPTERS 

00:00 The damage is already locked in

00:43 The unknown that could prolong the war

01:35 Information warfare and perception risk

02:41 Why prices won’t fall

04:00 Supply bottlenecks and system stress

05:53 Airlines signal what’s coming

06:30 AI and tech supply chain exposure

SOURCES

• Iran War & Geopolitics Iran War Overview: https://www.theguardian.com/news/ng-interactive/2026/mar/22/iran-war-global-economy-donald-trump-oil-prices-inflation  
• Trump vs Iran Power Plants: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/23/trump-iran-war-power-plants-energy-infrastructure-middle-east.html 
• Oil & Energy Markets Iran War Oil Price Shock: https://www.ft.com/content/df3f208a-2512-4a75-b2f3-d3bd27bae2e8?syn-25a6b1a6=1  
• Trump, EVs & Oil Prices: https://www.npr.org/2026/03/23/nx-s1-5753761/trump-ev-renewables-oil-prices  
• China Gas Shortage Crisis: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/23/long-lines-at-the-gas-pump-in-china-as-mideast-turmoil-hits-.html  
• Energy Shock & the AI Boom: https://www.reuters.com/commentary/breakingviews/how-energy-shock-could-derail-ai-boom-2026-03-19/ 
• U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve SPR Current Levels: https://www.spr.doe.gov/dir/dir.html 
• Markets & Trading Stock Market Live Updates: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/22/stock-market-today-live-updates.html  
• Suspicious Trading Before Trump Post: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/23/volume-in-stock-and-oil-futures-surged-minutes-before-trumps-market-turning-post.html 
• Iran Disinformation IRGC Social Media Influence Op: https://open.clemson.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=mfh_reports 
• AI & Middle East AI Investment in the Gulf: https://www.pwc.com/m1/en/publications/potential-impact-artificial-intelligence-middle-east.html 
• Microsoft’s $15.2 billion USD investment in the UAE: https://blogs.microsoft.com/on-the-issues/2025/11/03/microsofts-15-2-billion-usd-investment-in-the-uae/ 
• Amazon commits $5B for Saudi AI hub: https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-aws-humain-ai-investment-in-saudi-arabia  
• OpenAI, Oracle and NVIDIA will help build Stargate UAE AI campus launching in 2026: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/22/stargate-uae-openai-nvidia-oracle.html 

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