The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma Ep. 111: The India-Pakistan Conflict
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Mar 11, 2019 Srinath Raghavan, a historian and foreign policy analyst with deep insights into South Asian geopolitics, unpacks the intricate dynamics of the India-Pakistan conflict. He explores the historical roots and current tensions, particularly focusing on Kashmir and nuclear strategies. Raghavan discusses deterrence concepts, the delicate balance between military might and diplomacy, and the implications of recent events like the Pulwama attack. He highlights the narratives shaping both nations' identities, offering a nuanced perspective on this complex rivalry.
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Nuclear Deterrence Dynamics
- India aims to deter Pakistan's nuclear use; Pakistan uses nukes to deter India's conventional superiority.
- Pakistan's nuclear posture enables asymmetric escalation and subconventional warfare.
NFU Policy's Stability Role
- India's No First Use (NFU) policy aims to prevent nuclear weapon use.
- Abandoning NFU risks Pakistan using nukes early, increasing crisis instability.
Pakistan's Nuclear Unpredictability
- Pakistan benefits by appearing unpredictable in nuclear strategy, creating uncertainty for India.
- Both sides not knowing nuclear red lines increases crisis risks.
