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Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN

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Mar 6, 2026
Discussion of Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions and the big questions they raise. A look at how infrastructure like chips and transformers captured AI-era value. Deep dive into materials and data center bottlenecks, including copper and transformer lead times. Coverage of semiconductor geopolitics, US chip export policy moves, and rumors around a massive SpaceX IPO.
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INSIGHT

Agentic GPTs Shift Value To Infrastructure

  • Daniel Gross predicted agentic GPTs and asked where value accrues in a post‑AGI world.
  • Hosts highlight infrastructure wins: NVIDIA captured outsized profits while foundation labs often lost money, validating the picks‑and‑shovels trade.
INSIGHT

NVIDIA Dominated While Cloud Stocks Lagged

  • NVIDIA exploded in value as the clear picks‑and‑shovels winner capturing most AI profits.
  • Microsoft grew Azure but shareholders punished heavy AI CapEx, leaving its stock relatively muted despite cloud growth.
INSIGHT

AI Demand Sent Copper To Record Highs

  • Commodities like copper surged because AI demand drives huge material use in datacenters.
  • Example: an NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 rack uses ~5,000 copper cables and a single 100MW data center needs ~3,000 tons of copper.
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