What A Day And Then The Majority Was 2
31 snips
Jan 8, 2026 
Burgess Everett, the Congressional bureau chief at Semafor, shares his insights on the precarious state of the GOP’s slim majority in the House. He discusses the implications of resignations and the potential for intense political chaos in Congress. Burgess explores the challenges of bipartisan healthcare negotiations and the looming risk of a government shutdown. He also analyzes the uncertain impact of upcoming War Powers votes and redistricting changes as the 2026 elections approach, painting a vivid picture of the legislative landscape.
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Bipartisan Push To Revive ACA Subsidies
- The Senate shows bipartisan momentum to revive and reshape ACA subsidies, led by unexpected figures like Senator Bernie Moreno and Senator Collins.
- A modified subsidy deal could pass the Senate and possibly become law if the House musters sufficient support.
Don't Expect Democrats To Trigger Another Shutdown
- Democrats are unlikely to engineer another shutdown to win ACA subsidy terms and prefer not to recreate last year's strategy.
- Expect any shutdown to stem from legislative miscalculation or failed floor votes, not a deliberate Democratic gambit.
Reconciliation Talk Meets Political Math
- Republicans will attempt reconciliation to pass party-line bills, but math in both chambers makes success unlikely.
- Internal pressure and past regrets about not enacting more agenda items drive talk of trying despite low odds.