
CONFLICTED Can Lebanon Ever Be Free of Hezbollah?
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Mar 27, 2026 A deep dive into how Lebanon’s state was hollowed out over decades and how a powerful non-state force rebuilt after heavy blows. They unpack regional strategy from Gulf pressure to U.S. island operations and explain why Lebanese institutions struggle to disarm militias. The conversation also examines legal arguments for self-defense and the wider risks of Lebanon being pulled into full-scale conflict.
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Trump's Chaos Is a Deliberate Strategic Tool
- Donald Trump's chaotic public messaging is driven by coordinated military, intelligence and economic advice designed to mislead enemies and calm markets.
- Aimen Dean explains fragments (15-point plans, Pakistan rumours) are deliberate to buy time for logistics like replenishing interceptors and amphibious readiness.
US Strategy Is Regime Destruction Not Occupation
- The US intends limited targeted operations (island seizures) not a full-scale ground invasion of Iran's mainland.
- Aimen Dean says amphibious assaults on islands and limited Syrian deployments aim to destroy regime capability rather than occupy Iran.
Houthis Act As An Iranian Strategic Reserve
- The Houthis are being held in reserve by Iran and will join the conflict only when 'militarily necessary'.
- Aimen Dean says Houthi strikes rely on IRGC-provided missiles and operators, limiting Houthi autonomy.
