Know Your Risk Podcast Tony Greer
4 snips
Dec 5, 2025 
Tony Greer, a macro trader and founder of TG Macro, shares his expert insights on the evolving macroeconomic landscape. He emphasizes the importance of diversifying investments towards commodities and precious metals, citing their resurgence as key areas for growth. Greer also dives into the psychology behind trading decisions and the advantages of sector rotation versus stock picking. Plus, he previews the upcoming TG Macro conference, promising a lineup of notable finance speakers.
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Get Into Leading Sectors Early
- Prioritize being early into the right sectors rather than picking individual stock winners.
- Increase allocation to sectors you expect to lead before investment banks catch up.
Technical Momentum Beats Static Multiples
- Multiples mislead in cyclical and breakout markets; technical momentum often trumps valuation arguments.
- Tony emphasizes technical patterns over static multiples when capturing bull markets.
Commodities Could Clash With Rate-Cut Politics
- A commodity breakout can create inflationary pressure that conflicts with political pressure to cut rates.
- Tony sees Trump's policy mix potentially forcing a clash between falling rates and rising commodity-led inflation.