The Compound and Friends

Mark Mulhern (Manu Invests) on Autonomous Taxis and the Buying Opportunity in Uber

47 snips
Feb 2, 2026
Mark Mulhern (Manu Invests), creator of the Substack Fundamentally Sound and investment commentator, breaks down the long-term bull case for Uber. He explores the rise of autonomous taxis and robotaxi market estimates. They cover why Uber’s asset-light, partnership-first approach could be an advantage and how AVs might reshape costs, margins, and global rollout strategies.
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INSIGHT

AVs Are A Tailwind Not An Existential Threat

  • Autonomous taxis won't kill Uber; they present a material tailwind by lowering costs and improving availability.
  • Mark Mulhern argues AVs complement Uber's marketplace rather than replace it because consumers prioritize speed and convenience.
INSIGHT

Speed And Availability Drive Rider Choice

  • Most riders choose the fastest, cheapest ride, not a human versus robot.
  • Josh Brown and Mark say network breadth and availability will drive default app choice.
INSIGHT

Uber Wants To Aggregate, Not Build Full Stack

  • Uber's strategy is to be the demand aggregator across many AV providers, not to own the full tech stack.
  • Partnerships, equity stakes, and exclusivity give Uber leverage without full ownership of AV tech.
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