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Second Breakfast: F-15, Pete's Purges, CENTCOM Hubris, War of 1812

77 snips
Apr 3, 2026
Justin Mc, analyst and writer on just war theory and military ethics. They unpack a downed F-15E, the realities of combat search and rescue and how a captured pilot warps politics. Discussion jumps to AWACS damage, CENTCOM’s outdated force posture, missed lessons from Ukrainian drone warfare, politicized officer reshuffles, and why the War of 1812 offers a cautionary analogy.
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INSIGHT

How Combat Search And Rescue Changes The War

  • Combat Search and Rescue (CSAR) is a high-risk, highly trained mission focused on evading capture and recovering downed aircrews in hostile territory.
  • Justin Mc explains pararescue and SEER training prepare pilots to evade in desert conditions while special operations mount rapid hostage-rescue missions if a pilot is captured.
INSIGHT

A Hostage Makes Withdrawal Politically Impossible

  • A captured pilot instantly transforms CSAR into hostage rescue and raises the political and operational stakes of the conflict.
  • Justin Mc and Jordan note hostage presence makes a quick political exit practically impossible and compels risky special operations.
INSIGHT

Striking First Responders Risks War-Crime Culpability

  • Strikes hitting first responders or aid workers risk crossing into clear law-of-war violations and create long-term legal and moral culpability.
  • Justin Mc highlights reports of a second strike on a bridge hitting rescuers as prima facie evidence of criminal action if true.
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