CEASEFIRE! - with Amit Segal and Nadav Eyal

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Jun 24, 2025

Guest

Nadav Eyal

Guest

Amit Segal

Amit Segal, Chief Political Analyst at Channel 12, and Nadav Eyal, Senior Analyst at Yedioth Achronot, dive deep into the escalating conflict in the Middle East. They discuss the recent U.S. military strikes in Iran, highlighting the risks of Iran's nuclear ambitions and its implications for Israel's security. The conversation captures the complexities of negotiating a ceasefire amid ongoing military tensions. They also analyze the geopolitical shifts influenced by Trump’s policies and regional normalization efforts with Saudi Arabia.

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INSIGHT

Long-Term Deterrence Defines Victory

Future Iranian compliance with treaties and uranium transparency will determine the war’s true outcome.
Deterrence is the real victory, assessed by Iran’s nuclear behavior years from now.

INSIGHT

Urgency in Locating Uranium Stockpiles

Enriched uranium’s whereabouts are critical because unknown Iranian facilities might exist.
Keeping control of dangerous materials prevents scenarios like dirty bombs in hostile hands.

INSIGHT

Nuclear Knowledge Persists Amid War

Iran holds nuclear knowledge and centrifuges despite losses; war’s real test is if Iran rebuilds.
U.S. pressure dictates Israel’s restrained response post-ceasefire to avoid escalation.

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Today’s Episode:

It feels like a month’s worth of news has erupted out of the Middle East since Saturday night, when the U.S. bombed Iran’s three key nuclear facilities. On Monday, the IRGC responded by firing missiles at the American El Udeid Air base in Qatar – an attack it warned Qatar (and the U.S.) about beforehand. Throughout that day, the Israeli Air Force struck critical IRGC targets, including multiple hubs of internal operations, military headquarters, missile production sites, radar systems, and missile storage infrastructure. In a highly symbolic move, the IAF struck Evin Prison – known for holding Iranian dissidents – as well as Iran’s so-called “Israel doomsday clock,” located in Tehran’s “Palestine square.”

And then, at 6:02pm EST, President Trump announced a “complete and total ceasefire” via Truth Social.

Shortly before the ceasefire began, Iran launched six successive missile barrages toward targets throughout Israel. At around 5:40am Israel time, one of these missiles impacted a residential building in Beersheba, tragically killing four people and injuring 22.

At 10:30am Israel time, about three-and-a-half hours after the ceasefire was meant to take effect, Iran fired two missiles at Israel’s North. Israeli officials vowed to respond forcefully to this breach in the ceasefire, but settled for a “symbolic” target – an Iranian radar north of Tehran – after pressure from President Trump not to escalate.

To unpack the history that’s taken place over the past few days; the details of the ceasefire and how it will be enforced; and how a possible end to this Iran War (or this phase of the Iran War) could impact the Gaza War and the hostages, we are joined once again by senior analyst at Yedioth Achronot and Call me Back regular Nadav Eyal and chief political analyst at Channel 12 and another Call me Back regular Amit Segal.

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CREDITS:

ILAN BENATAR - Producer & Editor

MARTIN HUERGO - Sound Editor

MARIANGELES BURGOS - Additional Editing

MAYA RACKOFF - Operations Director

GABE SILVERSTEIN - Research

YUVAL SEMO - Music Composer