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Four weeks or forever: How long will Trump’s war in Iran last?

Mar 3, 2026
David Smith, Washington bureau chief for The Guardian, offers concise political reporting and analysis. He breaks down Trump's public rationale for strikes, his norm‑breaking decision making, the skipped consultative processes, the uncertain timeline of 'four weeks' versus a longer campaign, and the domestic political and international influences shaping the conflict.
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INSIGHT

Trump Frames Iran As Imminent Nuclear Threat

  • Donald Trump justified strikes mainly by citing Iran's nuclear ambitions and ballistic missile program as imminent threats to the US and region.
  • David Smith noted experts are sceptical Iran could soon strike the US directly and called parts of the case speculative.
ANECDOTE

Trump Praised White House Drapes Midwar Speech

  • David Smith described Trump's East Room remarks pivoting from war rationale to praising White House renovations, calling it a bizarre moment.
  • He linked the pivot to Trump's pattern of breaking norms and acting as a lone decision-maker.
INSIGHT

Administration Mentioned Four Week Timeline

  • The White House initially projected a four-week campaign but said it can continue longer if needed, framing a tentative schedule.
  • Smith explained timing shifted after top Iranian leaders, including Khamenei, were killed, making the operation feel "ahead of schedule."
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