What A Day

Trump Still Has A Grip On Indiana

14 snips
May 8, 2026
Jon Favreau, political commentator and Pod Save America co-host, breaks down how Trump-backed wins in Indiana reshaped primaries and what mid-decade redistricting means for Congress. He discusses turnout-driven upsets, legal fights over new maps, and which seats might flip. Short, sharp political analysis on shifting incentives and the map’s national impact.
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INSIGHT

Trump's Primary Grip Shapes State Legislatures

  • Trump's influence still decides GOP primaries in places like Indiana where his approval is above water.
  • Jon Favreau notes low-turnout primaries let Trump-backed challengers beat incumbents by just a few thousand votes, shifting state legislatures quickly.
ADVICE

Watch For PostPrimary GOP Drift From Trump

  • Expect Republicans in competitive general-election seats to distance themselves from Trump after primaries end.
  • Favreau predicts some GOP lawmakers will 'find courage' to break with Trump when faced with general-election vulnerability.
INSIGHT

Middecade Redrawing Risks All One Party Maps

  • Mid-decade redistricting is creating a feedback loop where red and blue states redraw maps in response to one another.
  • Favreau warns this could produce entirely one-party congressional delegations and remove moderates from the House over time.
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