The Intelligence from The Economist Left, right and centre: Germany’s election
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Feb 24, 2025 
Friedrich Merz, soon-to-be German chancellor, dives into the evolving political landscape in Germany, discussing the rise of the hard-right AFD party and the implications for immigration and economic policies. He sheds light on the challenges facing the incoming government and explores the changing dynamics of support for Ukraine, challenging the notion of America's dominance in aid. Expect insights on how Europe's contributions outpace the U.S., all while addressing the complexities of coalition negotiations in this pivotal moment for Germany.
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Challenges for the New Chancellor
- Germany's new chancellor will face challenges like a stagnant economy, irregular migration, and the debt break.
- Changing the debt break requires a two-thirds majority, necessitating compromise with other parties.
Shift in German Foreign Policy
- Friedrich Merz, the incoming chancellor, has suggested Europe needs an independent defense capability, separate from NATO.
- This marks a shift in German foreign policy, potentially driven by concerns about American reliability.
The AFD Challenge
- The AFD's success poses a challenge to Germany's post-war democratic order, despite mainstream parties refusing to work with them.
- Addressing economic and immigration concerns is key to countering the AFD's rise.