The Intelligence from The Economist Has Obi won, can Obi? Nigeria’s elections
Feb 27, 2023
Ore Ogunbiyi, a dual British-Nigerian journalist, shares her first-time voting experience in Nigeria, highlighting the enthusiasm and hope among young voters for change. Meanwhile, Max Rodenbeck, The Economist’s Berlin bureau chief, discusses Germany's significant shift in defense policy since Olaf Scholz's stirring address, especially in response to the Ukraine conflict. The conversation touches on Nigeria's challenging electoral climate and Peter Obi's rise as a candidate, juxtaposed with the evolving dynamics of Germany's military commitments.
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Potential Runoff and Violence
- Regional alliances remain strong, with candidates winning in expected areas, potentially leading to a runoff.
- The competitive nature of the election could lead to post-election violence.
Germany's Zeitenwende
- Olaf Scholz's "Zeitenwende" speech marked a significant shift in German defense policy, including increased spending and support for Ukraine.
- This was a major break from Germany's traditionally cautious stance, particularly regarding Russia.
Mixed Progress
- Germany's progress on its defense policy shift has been mixed, with some successes in aid to Ukraine and energy independence, but slow military progress.
- Despite some achievements, Germany's historical context and complex politics make change slow.