
Mining Stock Daily Escalating Capital Wars and the Geopolitical Chess Board as It Stands: In-Depth with Michael Howell
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Oct 21, 2025 Michael Howell, founder of CrossBorder Capital and renowned for his insights on liquidity and monetary policy, dives into the escalating global 'Capital War.' He discusses China's aggressive strategies to challenge U.S. dollar dominance, including substantial gold accumulation to bolster currency trust. Howell predicts a potential surge in gold prices due to the U.S. structural deficit and explores the implications of debt monetization for both nations. He also highlights the role of stablecoins in geopolitical strategies, urging investors to consider commodities as a viable asset class.
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US Fiscal Trajectory Threatens Dollar Collateral
- The US Treasury market is the dollar system's collateral but the structural deficit is exploding.
- Howell projects debt/GDP could reach ~250% by 2050, implying much higher gold prices in real terms.
Gold As A Debt Benchmark
- If US debt is constant in gold terms, gold would need to rise dramatically to reflect fiscal expansion.
- Howell estimates mid-2030s gold of $10–15k/oz and ~$25k/oz by 2050 under current trends.
China's Monetization And Yuan Strategy
- China has begun large liquidity injections and monetization to cure its debt problems.
- Howell says China injected about $1 trillion this year, devaluing the yuan in paper terms while accumulating gold.



