Long Now

Neal Stephenson: Termination Shock

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Feb 17, 2022
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INSIGHT

How Sulphates Cool The Planet

  • Sulphur dioxide in the stratosphere forms sulphuric acid droplets that reflect sunlight and cool the planet for a few years.
  • Stephenson emphasizes this mechanism as the scientific basis for solar geoengineering proposals.
INSIGHT

Geoengineering Is A Tourniquet

  • Atmospheric CO2 keeps rising and will remain elevated for a million years unless actively removed at scale.
  • Stephenson warns that solar geoengineering can be a temporary tourniquet while huge carbon removal projects are built.
ADVICE

Prepare For Early, Unilateral Deployment

  • Expect solar geoengineering to be considered when climate disasters cause mass fatalities, not just in academic debate.
  • Recognize that deployment may begin with unilateral actors or governments rather than multilateral consensus.
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