
Columbia Energy Exchange Luisa Palacios and Eddie Fishman on the US Pressure Campaign on Venezuela's Oil
Dec 23, 2025
Luisa Palacios, a research director and former chairwoman of CITGO, teams up with Eddie Fishman, an expert in economic statecraft and sanctions. They dive into the U.S. pressure campaign on Venezuela, highlighting the strategic importance of oil in the geopolitical landscape. With escalating sanctions and naval blockades, they discuss potential outcomes for the Maduro regime and the risks involved. The conversation also touches on the implications for global energy markets, the history of sanctions, and what a change in governance could mean for Venezuela’s oil production.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Sanctions Evolved Into Maximum Pressure
- Venezuela sanctions began as targeted measures in 2014 and expanded into a maximum-pressure oil strategy under Trump.
- Blocking PDVSA and broader oil sanctions were meant to pressure Maduro and attempt regime change.
Military Interdictions Are Not Just Sanctions
- A naval blockade differs from modern financial sanctions because it replaces Treasury enforcement with military action.
- That shift increases the risk of kinetic escalation if interdictions encounter resistance.
China Is The Primary Buyer, Limiting Sanctions
- About 80% of Venezuela's oil exports flow to China, complicating U.S. secondary-sanctions options.
- The U.S. appears to prefer naval action over confronting Chinese banks and refineries directly.


