Sports Gambling Podcast NFL Thanksgiving Prop Bets (Ep. 2437)
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Nov 26, 2025 CJ Sullivan, a savvy podcaster from The Bottom Line Bombs, joins to unpack the Thanksgiving NFL prop bets. They dive into intriguing player props, advocating for David Montgomery's rushing yards and Patrick Mahomes' passing volume. The discussion heats up with first touchdown predictions, spotlighting sleepers like Mike Gesicki and Dallas Goddard. From Lions-Packers to Ravens-Bengals, they explore strategic bets and game dynamics, all while keeping the holiday spirit alive in their playful banter. Perfect for your Thanksgiving viewing!
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Episode notes
Watching Games Beats Purely Reading Metrics
- The hosts mocked shows that don't watch games and rely solely on stats, citing a podcast surprised by Taysom Hill carries.
- They used Taysom Hill as an example of why watching games matters for betting props.
Lean On Coach Tendencies For Props
- Expect Dan Campbell to favor his tight end usage and running back Montgomery in short weeks.
- CJ Sullivan and the hosts recommend David Montgomery over 38.5 rushing yards as a simple, playable prop.
Short Week Changes Player Usage And Value
- Thanksgiving short-week preparation changes usage patterns and can create late-week value swings.
- Hosts note lack of practice days affects target distribution and red-zone involvement.