American Prestige

E238 - On the Brink with Iran w/ Dalia Dassa Kaye

11 snips
Feb 24, 2026
Dalia Dassa Kaye, senior fellow at UCLA and author on U.S.-Iran relations, explores decades of hostility and the current brinkmanship. She unpacks how politics, past crises, and Israel’s role shaped policy. Conversations touch on missed diplomatic openings, limits of strikes, sanctions’ failings, and why clear objectives remain elusive.
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INSIGHT

Brinkmanship With No Clear Objective

  • The U.S. may be on the brink of military conflict with Iran without a clear political objective.
  • Dalia Dassa Kaye warns diplomacy is weakened by recent attacks, protests in Iran, and a month-long U.S. military buildup making war likelier.
INSIGHT

Domestic Politics Traps US Policy Toward Iran

  • Domestic politics and long-standing framing make engaging Iran politically costly for U.S. leaders.
  • Kaye argues repeated narratives—fanatical, unchangeable Iran—create low incentives to test diplomatic openings across administrations.
ANECDOTE

Reagan Era Secret Outreach Despite Hostility

  • Reagan-era officials secretly pursued openings with Iran despite the 1979 trauma and later scandal.
  • Kaye recounts NSC envoys visiting Iran and the illegal Iran-Contra arms sales that nevertheless showed engagement was considered possible.
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