Political Philosophy

Holmgren’s Energy Descent & Climate Change Scenarios: Are We in ‘Brown Tech?’

Jul 28, 2023
A tour of David Holmgren’s future scenarios for energy descent and climate interactions. Short summaries of four broad energy futures including Brown Tech, Green Tech, Earth Steward, and Lifeboats. A look at permaculture principles and how local design and resilience fit into those futures. An argument that current trends resemble a corporatist, high-extraction Brown Tech pathway.
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ANECDOTE

Permaculture Roots Inform Scenarios

  • Laurie M Johnson relates Holmgren's permaculture background as context for his scenarios.
  • She notes permaculture focuses on resilient local practices and low-input systems adaptable to hard times.
INSIGHT

What Energy Descent Entails

  • Energy descent means lower economic complexity and a shift toward lower-density renewables and ruralization.
  • Holmgren expects progressive population decline and social structures resembling pre-industrial patterns.
ADVICE

Examine Scenarios To Guide Planning

  • Study the energy descent scenarios to prioritize planning for likely outcomes.
  • Laurie M Johnson urges listeners to review Holmgren's website and consider which scenario fits current trends.
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