Novara Live

Iran MOCKS Trump, Says US “Negotiating With Itself”

25 snips
Mar 25, 2026
Professor Sina Azodi, director of Middle East Studies at GWU and author on Iran’s nuclear strategy, joins to explain Iran’s threshold approach to nukes. He discusses the roots of Iran’s enrichment choices, why the JCPOA mattered to Tehran, and how recent moves changed deterrence dynamics. The conversation also covers Western misreadings and the political leverage shaping negotiations.
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INSIGHT

MI6 Says Iran Gained The Initiative

  • Former MI6 chief Sir Alex Younger assessed Iran held the initiative, praising Tehran's dispersal and delegated authority for weapons use which increased resilience against air campaigns.
  • Walker notes this undercuts prior 'paper tiger' assumptions and suggests Iran's strategic planning has been effective.
INSIGHT

Iran Wants Nuclear Optionality Not Bombs

  • Sina Azodi argues Iran seeks nuclear optionality (threshold capacity) rather than an arsenal, and Western portrayals of Iran as irrational or suicidal are wrong.
  • He stresses Iranians value status, modernization, and believe deterrence logic still applies to them.
INSIGHT

Overplaying Enrichment Backfired In 2021

  • Azodi says Iran's threshold strategy backfired when they overplayed enrichment to gain concessions, notably enriching to 60% in 2021 which invited military intervention.
  • He calls the strategy 'suboptimal' and traces its roots to Shah-era surge capacity planning.
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