Patrick Boyle On Finance

The Winners & Losers from Trumps New Tariffs

Mar 2, 2026
A legal showdown over emergency tariff powers and a tiny wine importer that upended presidential authority. The switch to a 10% flat-rate replacement and how it reshapes global winners and losers. A looming $175 billion refund headache and creative workarounds as the administration searches for Plan B.
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INSIGHT

Court Reasserts Congressional Tax Power

  • The Supreme Court struck down most IEPA-based tariffs, reaffirming that taxing power belongs to Congress not the President.
  • VOS Selections, a tiny wine importer, argued the IEPA never intended a blank-check tariff power and won on Major Questions Doctrine grounds.
ANECDOTE

Tiny Wine Importer Beat A Tariff Power Grab

  • A small importer, VOS Selections, successfully sued and triggered the Supreme Court decision against emergency tariffs.
  • They argued the president used the wrong tool: IEPA targets embargoes and freezes, not general import taxes.
INSIGHT

Major Questions Doctrine Blocked Executive Tariffs

  • The Major Questions Doctrine limited executive overreach by rejecting hidden expansive powers in unrelated statutes.
  • Chief Justice Roberts echoed Scalia's idea that Congress doesn't hide 'elephants in mouseholes' for massive policy shifts.
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