The Compound and Friends

Brian Belski Breaks Loose, Palantir Erupts, Stocks Getting Quietly Killed, Uber and Tost Report

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Nov 5, 2025
Brian Belski, the former institutional strategist and now CEO of Humilus Investment Strategies, shares insights on his new venture. He discusses navigating the possibility of an AI bubble, emphasizing a selective 50-stock portfolio strategy. Belski also analyzes current market trends, advocating for stock picking over MAG7 concentration. The conversation touches on Palantir's growth amid valuation concerns and Uber's expanding mobility, set against a backdrop of earnings season dynamics and fluctuating market internals.
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INSIGHT

Rule‑Of‑40 Rocket Fuel

  • Palantir delivered accelerating deals, TCV growth, and a Rule-of-40 well above peers, showing rare profitability-at-scale.
  • That operational strength explains why retail and investors rushed in despite valuation concerns.
ADVICE

View Pullbacks As Healthy Resets

  • Embrace pullbacks as healthy resets that remove excess speculation and support sustainable rallies.
  • Use earnings-driven weakness to reassess risk rather than panic-sell into volatility.
INSIGHT

Mega-Cap Concentration Warps Breadth

  • Market concentration means a handful of mega-caps can equal hundreds of smaller stocks, creating bizarre daily breadth readings.
  • Expect more distorted index moves where equal-weight and cap-weighted indices diverge sharply.
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