The Orthogonal Bet

Stephen Webb on 75 Answers to the Fermi Paradox

13 snips
Mar 11, 2026
Stephen Webb, physicist and author of If the Universe is Teeming with Aliens…Where is Everybody?, talks about the Fermi paradox and its many proposed solutions. He explores science fiction as a testing ground for ideas. Stephen outlines a three-category taxonomy, discusses how exoplanets, SETI and AI reshape the puzzle, and shares quirky speculative answers like Moon roles and cyclic cosmologies.
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INSIGHT

Science Advances Make The Silence Sharper

  • Modern observational advances have sharpened the paradox by confirming many planets yet finding no techno-signatures.
  • We now detect exoplanets, neutrinos, and gravitational waves but no clear artificial signals.
INSIGHT

Human-Like Civilizations Might Be Exceptionally Rare

  • Webb leans toward rarity: the chain from abiogenesis to technological civilization may be exceptionally unlikely.
  • He lists required steps: stable planet, multicellularity, social language, manipulative ability, metallurgy and technology.
ADVICE

Keep Searching And Broaden What Counts As Life

  • Webb urges continuing the search and broadening definitions of life and techno-signatures.
  • He emphasizes throwing every observational and conceptual tool at the question despite personal preference for a particular answer.
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