The Bunker – News without the nonsense The Year of the Wars – Start Your Week with Rafael Behr and Jacob Jarvis
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Jan 5, 2026 Rafael Behr, a seasoned Guardian columnist and political commentator, joins Jacob Jarvis to dissect the current geopolitical turmoil. They delve into Trump's controversial interventions in Venezuela, exploring the mix of oil interests, theatrical politics, and the implications for other global powers. Behr critiques Keir Starmer's cautious political maneuvering and speculates on its consequences for Labour. The conversation also touches on the grim stalemate in Gaza and offers a glimmer of hope for upcoming electoral shifts in 2026.
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Cost‑Of‑Living Pitch May Lack A Compelling Doctrine
- Rafael Behr says Labour's relaunch will focus on cost of living and signalling improved household finances.
- He questions whether this alone can offer a compelling doctrine against nationalist narratives.
Survival Possible, Revival Unlikely
- Rafael Behr thinks Starmer might survive a year if the economy holds and crises deter removal.
- He doubts Starmer can restore personal popularity enough to secure future election success.
Reform’s Momentum, Greens’ Fragile Surge
- Rafael Behr says Reform has momentum backed by press support while Greens' polling may overstate electoral strength.
- He warns a sustained crossover where Greens overtake Labour is feasible soon but not certain.