In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 236: What Is Russia?

Feb 15, 2026
Discussion of Navalny's death, intelligence attribution language, and how Western politics responded. A shift in Russia's Geneva negotiation team and what that signals about Kremlin strategy. Skeptical take on Russian links in the Epstein affair versus institutional failures. Two books frame Russia as a hybrid, fluid society coping with globalisation and deglobalisation pressures.
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INSIGHT

Navalny Poisoning And Political Timing

  • Alexei Navalny's death likely involved epibatidine poisoning consistent with observed symptoms and prior targeting by the Kremlin.
  • Mark Galeotti cautions cautious acceptance of Western intelligence language while treating the revelation as politically timed.
INSIGHT

Medinsky Signals Political-Level Negotiations

  • Russia sent Vladimir Medinsky to Geneva to move talks from technical to political terrain and to signal Kremlin control over negotiation content.
  • Galeotti sees Medinsky as a Kremlin mouthpiece used to prepare higher-level talks rather than offer independent concessions.
INSIGHT

Survey Data Shows Hybrid Regime Fracture

  • Longitudinal surveys show Russia embraced a hybrid regime mixing authoritarianism and market capitalism until stresses after 2011 and the 2014 Crimea turn.
  • Chasey and Whitefield argue this fractured consensus produced polarised groups and undermined the earlier system consolidators.
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