Novara Live

How Far Could the US-Israel War on Iran Spread?

16 snips
Mar 5, 2026
Megan Baudet, Director of Research at the Kurdish Peace Institute, speaks from Iraqi Kurdistan with on‑the‑ground Kurdish politics and security expertise. She discusses Kurdish border dynamics and why Iraqi Kurdistan seeks neutrality. She unpacks confusion over different Kurdish groups and explains motives behind strikes on Erbil and western Iran.
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INSIGHT

Regional Spillover Turns Into Strategic Cost Of Allyship

  • The US-Israel war on Iran is rapidly spilling across the region, hitting at least a dozen countries including Azerbaijan and causing civilian terror.
  • Dalia Gebrial warns Iran treats the conflict as existential and is raising the cost of allyship to deter US/British regional support.
INSIGHT

Engineered Chaos Benefits Imperial Interests

  • The war creates engineered chaos that imperial powers can exploit for strategic and economic gain.
  • Dalia Gebrial links past Iraq interventions to elite interests securing resources despite human cost and regional destabilisation.
ANECDOTE

Erbil Denies Peshmerga Incursion Claims

  • Media reported possible Kurdish incursions into western Iran and alleged CIA arming of Iranian Kurdish groups to foment unrest.
  • Megan Baudet, in Erbil, said Iraqi Kurdish leadership denies Peshmerga crossings and aims to stay neutral to protect economy and civilians.
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