Wall Street Breakfast

Peace plan pumps futures

8 snips
Mar 25, 2026
Markets rally on talk of a U.S.-Iran peace plan that lifts futures. A judge raises questions about Pentagon actions tied to a contract dispute with Anthropic. Arm's CEO teases a new in-house chip and a $15B revenue target. Headlines include a potential SpaceX IPO, OpenAI winding down a video app, and a slump in China phone shipments.
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INSIGHT

Markets Rally On Reported U.S. Peace Plan

  • U.S. futures rose sharply after reports the U.S. sent Iran a 15-point peace plan addressing missiles, nukes, and Strait of Hormuz transit.
  • Julie Morgan notes Dow up 0.8%, S&P up 0.8%, Nasdaq up 1% and oil fell about 4% to mid-$80s/$100s, driving the market move.
INSIGHT

Iran Sets Tough Terms For Ceasefire Talks

  • Tehran pushed back with high demands including U.S. base closures, reparations, sanctions relief, and keeping its missile program unrestricted.
  • The Wall Street Journal reported Iran also sought fees for Strait transits and guarantees the war won't restart, keeping talks difficult.
INSIGHT

Judge Says Blacklisting May Be Punishment

  • A federal judge suggested the Pentagon's blacklisting of Anthropic looks punitive for speaking publicly about a contract dispute and may violate free speech.
  • Julie Morgan relayed the judge's view that the designation as a supply-chain risk seemed aimed to cripple Anthropic and lacked tailoring to security concerns.
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