
GD POLITICS Bombs In Tehran, Ballots In Texas
Mar 2, 2026
Jacob Rubashkin, deputy editor at Inside Elections, digs into congressional dynamics and redistricting. Mary Radcliffe, director of data at FiftyPlusOne, breaks down polling and primary electorates. They discuss public reaction to strikes on Iran and how polls shift after military action. Then they focus on chaotic Texas primary polling, open-primary effects, Latino turnout challenges, and surprising Senate and House races to watch.
AI Snips
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Episode notes
Use War Powers Votes To Read Congressional Stances
- Watch the upcoming Congressional War Powers votes for clearer political positioning.
- Those votes will force House and Senate members on record and reveal intra‑party splits quickly this week.
U.S. Casualties Make This Conflict Distinct
- Military casualties change political dynamics sharply.
- Reports of U.S. service members killed or injured already make this conflict materially different from prior limited strikes.
Texas Primary Polls Are Unreliable
- Texas Senate primary polling is highly contradictory and unreliable.
- Open primaries and poor likely‑voter screens mean pollsters disagree wildly on electorate composition and turnout.

