
Making Sense AI Risk and opportunity: The state of tech lending
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Feb 3, 2026 Edward Byun, global head of technology ECM at J.P. Morgan, offers quick takes on software, IPO appetite and investor skepticism. David De Boltz, MD in Technology Leveraged Finance Capital Markets, explains lending shifts toward AI infrastructure and neoCloud financing. They discuss volatility in tech lending, the split between AI‑proof and AI‑risk names, and what drives demand across debt and equity markets.
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Rapid Repricing In Tech Credit
- Tech leveraged finance has seen a sudden spike in volatility driven by investor re-pricing of AI-risk credits.
- Investors are pivoting toward recession-proof and AI-proof sectors, causing software loans to underperform the broader market.
Capital Chases AI Infrastructure
- Capital is concentrating into AI infrastructure and neo-cloud offerings, creating a clear winner-takes-most dynamic.
- Those names have shown stability despite broader market volatility as investors chase AI-tailwind credits.
Terminal Value Uncertainty For Software
- Investors are questioning software companies' terminal value because AI may reduce development costs and disrupt existing business models.
- That uncertainty has put the market in a 'show me' mode, making investors sit out early recoveries.
