The Take Will the US force regime change in Cuba?
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Feb 3, 2026 Ed Augustin, an independent Havana-based reporter covering Cuban politics and society. He describes Cuba’s deepening oil and blackout crisis. He explains how losing Venezuelan fuel worsened daily life. He walks through U.S. pressure, Mexico’s oil deliveries, and the role of Cuban-American politics. He discusses why the Cuban government may resist outside attempts to force change.
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Oil Shortages Trigger Systemic Collapse
- Cuba is facing an oil-driven cascade of crises that amplify power cuts, food shortages, and collapsing healthcare and agriculture.
- Ed Augustin warns that without petroleum the economy and daily life become far more complicated, nearing systemic failure.
Venezuela Was Critical But Insufficient
- Cuba relied heavily on Venezuelan oil but even with that supply it couldn't keep lights on for most provinces most of the time.
- Ed Augustin explains losing Venezuela is a major blow and worsened multi-year electricity shortages.
Executive Order Relies On Questionable Claims
- The Trump executive order labels Cuba an 'extraordinary threat' based on dubious claims about militant groups and malign influence.
- Ed Augustin calls the order rife with falsifications and politically motivated rhetoric.