Energy Evolution

Europe's battle against the shadow tanker fleet

Mar 3, 2026
Max Lin, S&P Global/Platts reporter who analyzes tanker markets, and Kelly Norways, S&P Global/Platts journalist tracking shipping risks, discuss the shadow tanker network. They unpack its scale and logistics, the EU’s proposed maritime services ban and how it differs from the price cap, enforcement and industry reactions, and the environmental and safety dangers posed by aging, noncompliant vessels.
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INSIGHT

Shadow Fleet Emerged As Sanctions Workaround

  • The shadow fleet grew rapidly after 2022 as Russia and sanctions evaded the G7 price cap by using aging tankers off the official system.
  • Kelly Norways says thousands of old vessels (18–20+ years) avoid AIS tracking and handle much of sanctioned oil, creating opaque trade flows.
INSIGHT

Scale Of The Shadow Fleet Is Substantial

  • About 600 vessels over 27,000 dwt were identified supporting Russian shipments, and roughly a thousand globally operate across Iran, Venezuela and Russia trades.
  • Kelly Norways estimates ~70% of recent Russian oil flows rely on non-G7 or shadow tankers.
INSIGHT

EU Maritime Services Ban Is Far More Restrictive

  • The EU proposal would ban maritime services for Russian crude, cutting insurance, brokerage and port support regardless of price.
  • Kelly Norways notes this is more restrictive than the G7 price cap and needs unanimous EU approval and G7 buy-in.
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