The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 1088: Mailbag - De'Von Achane's Outlook, ZAP Model Methodology, and More
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Mar 20, 2026 A mailbag-style conversation tackles the fallout of the Jaylen Waddle trade and what it means for team fit and receiver room dynamics. They debate De'Von Achane's outlook after roster shifts and running back landing spots for late picks. The ZAP model gets a technical overhaul explanation, including why scoring changed and why historical databases stay private. A.J. Brown's risk and buy-low case is also examined.
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Waddle Is A High-Value Fit In Denver
- Jalen Waddle is a clear upgrade in Denver because he profiles as a top-tier receiver who can command 22–24% target share.
- JJ cites Waddle's consistent >2.19 yards per outrun and Denver's pass-heavy offense as the sustainability factors.
Achan's Ceiling Shrinks Without McDaniel And Waddle
- Devon Achane's upside drops after Mike McDaniel's departure and losing Waddle reduces Malik Willis's passing window.
- JJ notes RB target share rarity (27 RB seasons ≥19% since 2011) and Miami's uncertain offensive outlook.
Pick Day Three RBs For Immediate Opportunity
- Target day-three rookie running backs to landing spots with immediate 2026 opportunity like Seattle, Minnesota, or Washington.
- JJ also flags teams that may add depth via draft: Chicago, Carolina, Dallas, Denver, and Houston.