CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip

Texas Primaries and the Path to the Senate

Mar 4, 2026
Isaiah Martin, political commentator on Texas Democratic dynamics. Jeff Zeleny, CNN correspondent with on-the-ground campaign updates from Austin. John King, veteran correspondent delivering data-driven vote counts. They dig into tight Texas Senate primaries, Democratic unity and legal fights in Dallas County. They analyze Republican infighting, runoff scenarios, and real-time campaign reactions.
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INSIGHT

Tallarico's Coalition Built On Rural And Latino Margins

  • James Tallarico led broadly by running up margins in rural counties and Latino-majority border counties, giving him a statewide cushion despite Crockett's strength in big cities.
  • Tallarico won Travis, Bexar and Rio Grande Valley counties by large percentages while Crockett's gains clustered in Harris and Tarrant and (pending) Dallas County.
INSIGHT

Dallas County Became The Tipping Point

  • Dallas County vote returns were decisive for Jasmine Crockett to erase Tallarico's lead, creating uncertainty late into the night.
  • After initial Tallarico leads, first Dallas returns narrowed his margin by roughly 45,000 votes, making Dallas the pivotal question for a call.
INSIGHT

Republican Primary Split Mirrors Bush Versus Trump Divide

  • The Texas Republican primary was headed to a runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, reflecting a split between establishment and MAGA wings.
  • Cornyn led in population centers while Paxton carried many rural counties, leaving 43% to 40% with Wesley Hunt at ~13%.
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