The Asia Chessboard

The Iran War and Strategic Competition in Asia

4 snips
Apr 7, 2026
Evan Medeiros, a scholar of China and Asia policy and former U.S. National Security Council official, joins to map Beijing’s cautious Middle East play. He traces China–Iran ties from arms sales to energy-driven transactions. Conversations cover China’s diplomatic shuttlework, its calculus toward Russia versus Iran, and how the Iran war reshapes strategic competition and regional alignments in Asia.
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INSIGHT

China Treats Iran As Transactional Energy Partner

  • China’s Iran ties evolved from narrow arms sales to transactional energy dependence after 1993 when China became a net oil importer.
  • Evan Medeiros notes Xi visited both Iran and Saudi Arabia in 2016 and China brokering Saudi-Iran talks in 2023 shows pragmatic, interest-driven engagement.
ANECDOTE

The 1987 Silkworm Incident Brought China Iran Into US Focus

  • In October 1987 a Chinese-made HY 2 silkworm missile hit a reflagged Kuwaiti tanker, exposing China Iran links to US security concerns.
  • Medeiros recounts this episode as the first major moment the China Iran connection mattered to Washington.
INSIGHT

Beijing Shifted From Solidarity To De escalation

  • China shifted from initial rhetorical support for Iran to active calls for de-escalation as the war unfolded, prioritizing commercial interests and regional stability.
  • Medeiros cites Wang Yi's March 2 call then March 24 follow-up stressing de-escalation and protecting Chinese citizens and trade.
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