The Fifth Column

Robert D. Kaplan on a World Getting Darker (Members Only #320)

22 snips
May 12, 2026
Robert D. Kaplan, geopolitical analyst and bestselling author, offers a wide-ranging, worldly perspective. He discusses the rise of anti-expert sentiment and a tragic view of history. He explores Malthusian pressures in Africa and how development can spark instability. He also explains why the South China Sea matters for global security and trade.
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INSIGHT

Defense Of Expertise Amid Groupthink

  • Robert D. Kaplan defends expertise as necessary in a complex technological world where knowledge is siloed.
  • He warns experts can still fall into groupthink and be wrong, citing contemporary political appointments as a test case.
INSIGHT

Specialization Breeds Expertise And Ignorance

  • Kaplan traces modern anti-expert sentiment back to Ortega y Gasset's Revolt of the Masses and the rise of narrow specialists.
  • He argues specialization creates deep competence in narrow fields but broad ignorance elsewhere, fueling populist distrust.
ANECDOTE

Cold War Stability Felt Permanent

  • Kaplan recounts living through and reporting the Cold War, recalling its stability and the surprising speed of its end.
  • He uses that experience to caution against assuming current global orders are permanent.
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