The David Lin Report

War With Iran This Week? Will Markets Implode? Economist Answers | Steve Hanke

Feb 18, 2026
Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins applied economics professor and currency expert, offers sharp takes on Iran’s partial Strait of Hormuz closure and why markets barely flinched. He analyzes potential oil disruptions and military risks. He also dismisses reports of Russia returning to the dollar and warns that bank deregulation and M2 growth could nudge inflation higher.
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INSIGHT

Israel Shapes U.S. Iran Demands

  • U.S. policy toward Iran is heavily influenced by Israel's demands, making compromise difficult.
  • Israel wants Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities severely restricted, which Iran will reject.
ANECDOTE

Persia Isn't Venezuela

  • Steve Hanke contrasted Iran with Venezuela from his personal experience advising in Venezuela.
  • He emphasized Iran's resilience and historical continuity compared to Venezuela's situation.
INSIGHT

Dollar Return Report Is Likely A Teacup Tempest

  • The Bloomberg claim Russia offered to return to dollar-denominated energy settlements is likely false or unverified.
  • Moscow contacts gave the report a laugh and provided no confirmation.
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