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Michael Howell: $10,000 Gold in a World of Monetary Inflation and Debt on Top of Debt on Top of Debt

30 snips
Oct 8, 2025
Michael Howell, a global liquidity expert and Managing Director of GL Indexes, shares his insights on the looming $10,000 gold price in a debt-driven economy. He explains the pivotal shift from Federal Reserve control to U.S. Treasury influence on monetary inflation. Howell discusses how the current liquidity peak could lead to market shocks and presents gold, silver, and Bitcoin as essential hedges. He warns of the impacts of rising fiscal deficits and suggests investors adopt a buy-on-weakness strategy for scarce assets.
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INSIGHT

Crises Are Refinancing Failures

  • Modern financial crises are refinancing crises driven by a high debt-to-liquidity ratio.
  • When liquidity lags debt, collateral and repo markets strain and risk assets can implode.
INSIGHT

Shift From Fed To Treasury Liquidity

  • Fed liquidity injections are trending toward net withdrawal, while the Treasury is expanding deficit monetization.
  • That shift from Fed to Treasury liquidity changes where money flows and raises market tensions.
INSIGHT

Hedge Funds Are Marginal Treasury Buyers

  • Treasury issuance has relied heavily on leveraged hedge fund demand rather than traditional buyers.
  • That basis trade is fragile because it's leverage‑dependent and sensitive to volatility rises.
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