The Current How popular is Alberta’s separatism movement?
Feb 10, 2026
Keith McLaughlin, political strategist and former chief of staff in Rachel Notley’s NDP government, offers strategic perspective. Ian Brody, political scientist and former Harper chief of staff, traces historical and political dynamics. Shachi Kurl, president of the Angus Reid Institute, explains polling on Albertans’ support for separation. They discuss rally turnout, poll breakdowns, persuadable groups, party divisions and political risks.
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Current Support Is Small But Visible
- Angus Reid found only 8% of Albertans would definitely vote to separate and 21% lean toward leaving.
- A clear majority (57%) say they would definitely vote to stay, showing limited immediate appetite for independence.
Grievance And Control Drive The Debate
- Grievance over perceived unequal treatment and control of resources drives both leavers and some stayers.
- Control over natural resources and immigration are central motivators for those leaning to leave.
The 'Leaning' Voters Are Persuadable
- The 'leaning' voters seek autonomy and blame federal policies for hurting Alberta's economy.
- These persuadable voters see a distinct Alberta identity that separation might protect.