Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Jiang Xueqin: Predictions for 2026 - Empire, Rivalry & Collapse
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Jan 5, 2026 
Jiang Xueqin, a predictive historian and the mind behind the popular YouTube channel Predictive History, offers a fascinating forecast for 2026. He dives into the U.S.-China rivalry, analyzing Trump's pivotal April visit to China as a game-changer. Jiang explores historical roots of dollar hegemony, critiques European responses to Russia, and predicts rising tensions between China and Japan over Taiwan. He discusses the risks of the AI investment bubble and U.S. military strategies that might reshape geopolitical alliances—all through the lens of game theory and historical patterns.
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Diversify Resource Access Globally
- Diversify access to critical minerals and energy to avoid strategic choke points.
- Whoever controls Latin and South America gains leverage over AI-era resource supply.
Taiwan, Malacca And Japan–China Tensions
- Jiang sees China’s export dependence and energy import needs as its central weakness.
- He predicts rising China–Japan tensions over Taiwan and Malacca chokepoints in 2026.
Europe's Self-Reinforcing Militarization
- Jiang argues Europe will militarize against Russia despite domestic costs and lack of winning strategy.
- He attributes this to elite illusions that Russia will collapse and to bureaucratic inertia.
