Josh Pate's College Football Show Week 2 Prediction Show + AP Poll vs JP Poll & Belichick Crashes
16 snips
Sep 3, 2025 As college football kicks into high gear, the spotlight shines on Alabama's season recovery and crucial matchups like Michigan vs. Oklahoma. The discussion dives into rankings, comparing the AP Poll to an intriguing JP Poll. Ohio State's and Texas's standings are questioned, while LSU's potential rise into the top five is analyzed. Bill Belichick's rocky entry into college coaching adds drama, alongside reflections on North Carolina's struggles. Expect insights on turnovers, team dynamics, and unique betting predictions as the season unfolds.
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Episode notes
When In Doubt, Take The Points
- In tight, high-uncertainty games consider taking the points instead of the moneyline.
- Pate likes Oklahoma to win Michigan but would take Michigan +3 if the spread exceeds three.
JP Poll Is A Predictive Power Rating
- The JP Poll is a neutral-field power rating focused on predictive favorability, not merit-based rankings.
- Pate cautions many will misunderstand or dishonestly criticize the JP poll for not mirroring head-to-head results.
Model Keeps Texas Slightly Ahead
- The JP Poll places Texas at #1 and moved LSU to #5, showing model separations that differ from AP rankings.
- Pate emphasizes the model still favors Texas narrowly over Ohio State on a neutral field.
