In Focus by The Hindu

West Asia conflict: Under what conditions would Iran agree to a ceasefire?

Mar 21, 2026
Mehdi Razmahang, an Iranian parliamentary researcher and policy analyst, explains Iran's mood under sustained strikes. He discusses infrastructure damage, targeted assassinations, and economic shocks. He outlines Iran's supply routes despite sanctions, what Tehran would seek in negotiations, and how India might secure maritime passage.
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INSIGHT

Public Rallying After Attacks

  • Iranian public mood shifted from expecting foreign intervention to rallying around the state after large-scale attacks and assassinations.
  • The killing of senior figures and strikes on homes and hospitals produced nightly pro-government gatherings across small and large cities.
INSIGHT

Energy Damage Has Delayed But Manageable Effects

  • Despite attacks on gas infrastructure, Iran had no immediate household gas shortages due to mild weather and alternative supply lines.
  • Razmahang notes possible 25% damage to Asaluyeh production with repairs taking months to a year.
INSIGHT

Negotiations Will Require New Legal Guarantees

  • Iran will demand a new legal framework and credible guarantees before any future negotiations to prevent renewed strikes.
  • Tehran expects compensation for war damage and aims to raise deterrence so the US and Israel won't consider attacking again.
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