Daniel Davis Deep Dive U.S. General Caine Warns: STRIKING IRAN is a HUGE RISK
Feb 23, 2026
Glenn Deason, political scientist and analyst on international security, offers sharp commentary on Iran and the Russia–Ukraine war. He explains why a limited strike on Iran risks large retaliation and erosion of deterrence. He questions imminent-threat claims and stresses the need for mutual constraints and clear U.S. objectives. He also assesses diplomatic failures and possible moves to reduce escalation in Europe and Ukraine.
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Airstrikes Alone Won't Achieve Regime Change
- Massive strike capability doesn't equal successful regime change without ground forces or a ready replacement government.
- Deason argues bombing Iran risks creating a weakened, angrier Iran and likely fragmentation absent a political plan.
Bloody Nose Strike Likely Escalates Not Deters
- A 'bloody nose' or surgical strike is likely to provoke large Iranian retaliation rather than passive acceptance.
- Deason notes Iran treats repeated limited strikes as erosion of deterrent and will respond massively to prevent normalization.
Iran's Behavior Rooted In Security Competition
- Iran's actions reflect a security competition where they seek deterrence against US regional presence, not inherent irrational hostility.
- Deason compares US pressure to past Iraq framing and stresses Iran's defensive calculations.