Judging Freedom

Kyle Anzalone : Advantage Iran!

Mar 30, 2026
Kyle Anzalone, political commentator known for antiwar analysis, lays out Iran’s leverage and shifting U.S. goals. He discusses control of the Strait of Hormuz, regional pivots toward China and Russia, military and economic costs, and how shaky diplomacy and mixed signals risk escalation. Short, sharp takes on bargaining tactics, Israel’s role, and consequences of leaving the JCPOA.
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INSIGHT

Strait Of Hormuz Shift Gives Iran Economic Leverage

  • The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed to non-Iranian shipping, reversing prewar openness and amplifying Iran's leverage.
  • Anzalone cites Bloomberg data: only five non-Iran-linked ships exited in the past month, three on March 1st, none since March 9th.
INSIGHT

War Could Push Gulf States Toward China And Russia

  • A likely postwar settlement could realign Gulf states toward China or Russia and reduce U.S. basing and influence.
  • Anzalone warns lifting sanctions and Iran's dominance could push Gulf Arabs into security partnerships with China or Russia.
INSIGHT

Iran's Early Strategic Gains

  • Iran has inflicted strategic setbacks: damage to U.S. bases, demonstrated missile endurance, and potential control over Hormuz.
  • Anzalone notes 13 U.S. bases damaged, Iranian stockpiles outlast U.S. interceptors, and sanctions partially lifted.
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